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Jewish World Review March 7, 2003 / 3 Adar II, 5763

Dick Morris

Dick Morris
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Anti-war errors


http://www.NewsAndOpinion.com | As Saddam Hussein treats the United Nations to the spectacle of his destruction of his intermediate-range missiles, he is hoping that he can cool the impetus toward war. Likely, he will soon up the ante and offer to destroy his stockpiles of anthrax and VX nerve agent weaponry.

Colin Powell yesterday said that Saddam is actually saving many of these missiles. But another thing is lost in the discussion: The weapons he is now identifying and destroying are only those the list of what the arms inspectors found before he threw them out of Iraq in 1998. None of the weapons he is destroying were made after the inspectors left.

For us to assume that Saddam's weapon destruction is comprehensive, we would have to believe that he made no new weapons of mass destruction during the four years after inspections terminated. This assumption is totally unrealistic.

Saddam has had an annual flow of over $40 million per day in the past four years, most of which he was perfectly free to spend on weapons of mass destruction. By '98, he had achieved his two-part goal - he was allowed to sell nearly as much oil as he shipped before the Gulf War, and the arms inspectors weren't there to make sure he used the cash to feed his starving millions.

Freed of inspections and awash in money, Saddam has been able to build huge arsenals of prohibited weapons.

The U.N. inspectors - modern versions of Inspector Clouseau - have not found any of the weapons Saddam has made since '98. In his disclosures, the Iraqi dictator has not revealed any. All we are talking about, in his current efforts to prove he is disarming, are the weapons the U.N. has known about for years and which Saddam is now, for the first time, admitting that he has.

Yet Saddam's hidden weapon stocks most likely dwarf the ones he is now admitting. During the '90s, he was sharply limited in the amount of oil he could sell. For the first half of the decade, he was not allowed to sell any. In the second half, he was restricted, first to 500,000 barrels a day, then to 1 million, and then to his current limit of 2 million.

So it is only recently that he has had the money to rearm.

Before 1998, the inspectors were looking over his shoulder, roaming Iraq in search of deadly weapons. They closely monitored his legal oil sales (they couldn't stop the oil he smuggled out), forcing him to deposit the money in bank accounts they could track and control.

But, after '98, all these restrictions were lifted. Freed of inspections, Saddam could do what he wanted with the money and build whatever weapons of mass destruction he coveted.

By failing to own up to the weapons he produced after 1998, about which the United Nations knows nothing, Saddam is, in fact, hiding most of his potential for mass destruction. He is destroying only the tip of the iceberg of his lethal arsenal, leaving the bulk of it under wraps, unseen, uninspected, undisclosed - and, of course, undestroyed.

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JWR contributor Dick Morris is the author of, among others, "Power Plays: Top 20 Winning and Losing Strategies of History's Great Political Leaders" Comment by clicking here.

Up

03/05/03: Domino theory II: Toppling Mideast despots
03/03/03: Europe's triangulators: Chirac and Blair
02/27/03: Invasion? More like a coup
02/21/03: The first casualty of Iraq war: Liberal credibility
02/19/03: Old Europe's last hurrah
02/14/03: Corzine throws down gauntlet on Wall St. fraud
02/12/03: An exile deal for Saddam
02/07/03: The Dems give up the House
02/05/03: France: Saddam's ally
02/03/03: War critics will suffer
02/30/03: Even by Clinton standards, it's sheer chutzpah
01/24/03: Rebirth of the balanced budget Republican
01/22/03: Next to Bubba, Dubya's got it good
01/16/03: End racism in affirmative action
01/13/03: The new swing voter
01/10/03: Political e-mailing comes of age
01/07/03: In Dem race: Home field no advantage
12/31/02: Hey, Hillary: Want to appear like a stateswomyn? Stay silent
12/19/02: Kerry in the lead
12/19/02: Lieberman the frontrunner
12/17/02: In defense of Lott
12/02/02: An issue for Bush: Drugs
11/27/02: Women gone wobbly?
11/25/02: The U.N. over a barrel
11/15/02: Gore's suicide
11/15/02 One-party control is an illusion
11/13/02 The House of Extremes
11/08/02 I have egg on my face
11/01/02 Is Bush losing control over events?
10/25/02What is causing Bush's free fall?
10/25/02: Anybody sense a trend?
10/23/02: A deadline for Iraq
10/18/02: Only sure bet of 2002 elections is voter angst
10/16/02: Endangered incumbents
10/11/02: Why multilateralism doesn't work
10/09/02: Hey, Dems: Believe NYTimes polling at your own risk
10/03/02: Dem suicide: Let's count the ways
09/30/02: The Dems just can't stop themselves
09/26/02: The perils of polling
09/19/02: W. boxed in the U.N.
09/19/02: Welfare reform: Keep on keeping on
09/12/02: Are Dems insane on Iraq?
09/09/02: Twin shadows of Election '02
09/05/02: GOP should triangulate
08/28/02: Trust the military
08/22/02: It's not the economy, stupid
08/09/02: As America unites, Gore goes divisive
08/01/02: Bush must focus on big picture
07/23/02: Election 2002: Advantage Dems
07/19/02: Rudy for SEC tough cop
07/17/02: The investor strike
07/15/02: Door open for drug testing students --- go for it, GOP!
07/12/02: Dubya looking out for No. 1?
07/03/02: The DNA war for Bush's soul
06/21/02: Why are conservatives winning?
06/19/02: Learning to love the feds
06/14/02: Hey, journalists and Dems: Dubya is doing just fine
06/12/02: It's terrorism, stupid!
06/10/02: Sanctions are a potent weapon
06/04/02: Al Qaeda's more dangerous new front
05/31/02: Why '04 looks tough for liberal Dems
05/24/02: Democratic self-destruction
05/22/02: The Clinton failures
05/15/02: Pataki positioned to win
05/08/02: A wakeup-call for American Jewry
05/03/02: Give Bush back his focus
05/01/02: Immigration fault li(n)es
04/25/02: It's the war, stupid
04/17/02: Bush goes small bore
04/12/02: Bush must be a gentle partisan
04/10/02: In defense of polling
04/08/02: Focus on Iraq, not the Palestinians
04/01/02: Only Internet will bring real campaign finance reform
03/27/02: Where W's drawn a line in the sand
03/22/02: Enron scandal will not trigger a wave of economic populism
03/20/02: Term-limited --- by war
03/15/02: Europe doesn't have a clue
03/11/02: Bush popularity = GOP win?
03/01/02: Will America be forced to chase its tail in its war on terrorism?
02/27/02: The Arafat/Saddam equilibrium must be destroyed
02/21/02: Campaign finance reform won't hurt GOPers
02/13/02: Dodd scurries for cover
02/11/02: U.S. 'unilateralism'? The Europeans don't have a case
02/06/02: WAR: What women want
02/01/02: They all talk in the end
01/30/01: The odd couple: Chris Dodd and Arthur Andersen
01/22/01: His father's son? Bush better get an 'Act II' fast!
01/18/01: Dubya & the 'vision thing'
01/14/01: The Rumsfeld Doctrine 01/03/01: A President Gore would have been a disaster
01/03/02: Clinton's priority: Political correctness over fighting terror
12/27/01: Terror network grew out of Clinton's inaction, despite warnings
12/24/01: Call 'em back, George
12/18/01: What Bush did right
12/13/01: Libs worry too much
12/11/01: "Open Sesame": Feinstein's proposed bill allows 100,000 non-immigrant students from anti-American countries to our shores
12/07/01: The non-partisan president
12/05/01: Both parties are phony on stimulus debate
11/29/01: When terrorists can enter legally, it's time to change the laws
11/21/01: Go for the jugular!
11/16/01: You are all incumbents
11/14/01: Clinton's failure to mobilize America to confront foreign terror after the 1993 attack led directly to 9-11 disaster
11/12/01: To the generals: Don't worry about losing support
11/08/01: The death of the white liberal
11/07/01: Our leaders are being transformed in a way unprecedented in post-World War II history

© 2002, Dick Morris